Expert political judgment it sounds like an oxymoron but only because it is philip e tetlocks groundbreaking research shows that experts are no better than the rest of us when it comes to political prognostication. Expert political judgment how good is it how can we know philip e tetlock princeton university press princeton and oxford. Expert political judgment how good is it how can we know new edition philip e tetlock with a new preface by the author. This book is a landmark in both content and style of argument it is a major advance in our understanding of expert judgment in the vitally important and almost impossible task of political and strategic forecasting. Review of philip e tetlockexpert political judgment how good is it how can we know abstract the book assaults common sense with evidence in order to mount his assault on accepted wisdom tetlock
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